Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 258.577939 292.430152 330.281695 375.975131 429.949361 492.055903 569.477631
2024-10-27 198.597733 239.981954 290.379024 357.111176 444.433065 556.648638 714.837569
2024-11-03 177.437450 224.456151 285.252523 371.343560 493.009211 663.459560 929.170218
2024-11-10 164.240800 215.592485 285.330060 389.804675 547.587817 786.311894 1194.799808
2024-11-17 148.686300 200.810533 274.349007 389.554058 573.184414 869.437659 1418.881143
2024-11-24 133.218991 184.004288 257.858822 377.813687 577.696419 918.088134 1595.096157
2024-12-01 120.885567 170.272715 244.033452 367.754589 582.374007 966.588569 1783.178928
2024-12-08 115.266985 165.871073 243.697147 379.007070 624.677813 1090.657304 2162.436728
2024-12-15 108.529990 159.005784 238.579858 381.244018 650.744975 1188.857331 2519.310392
2024-12-22 100.927067 150.051796 229.086851 374.447117 658.369814 1250.808324 2811.882366
2024-12-29 95.659242 144.377514 224.420569 375.604020 681.507268 1350.755910 3242.553084
2025-01-05 89.368075 136.504419 215.255563 367.220563 683.679485 1403.724097 3564.331597
2025-01-12 84.597645 130.939662 209.818638 365.735371 701.205019 1499.850439 4071.749146
2025-01-19 77.808031 121.484736 196.747461 347.918838 680.409429 1496.812301 4258.984987
2025-01-26 76.170042 120.770098 199.318384 361.674389 733.255695 1699.018217 5286.302956
2025-02-02 75.140795 121.015335 203.630083 379.527228 799.277554 1958.926526 6739.334340
2025-02-09 71.911713 117.077061 199.688361 379.284911 820.830266 2096.117455 7782.659909
2025-02-16 67.647415 110.979405 191.113458 367.932461 812.071740 2137.135788 8403.769945
2025-02-23 63.909291 105.628135 183.609776 358.203276 806.141461 2186.590601 9120.284655
2025-03-02 62.684743 104.863514 185.096266 369.086553 858.062125 2449.919008 11331.218471
2025-03-09 60.628972 102.395070 182.950736 371.249765 886.127738 2639.716775 13342.355521
2025-03-16 57.860766 98.403260 177.397871 364.676561 887.753479 2731.202163 14798.836471
2025-03-23 56.009503 96.071217 175.109855 365.795462 912.678943 2925.202416 17360.736929